'Climate Change - The right balance for
Australia' today
Prime Minister Howard Addresses Melbourne
Press Club
July 18, 2007
Today
I want to address the issue of climate change in the hope of striking the
right balance for Australia. Climate change is a large, complex and
serious global challenge that will occupy the world for decades to come.
Over time, the scientific evidence that the climate is warming has become
quite compelling and the link between emissions of greenhouse gases from
human activity and higher temperatures is also convincing.
Australia has long been an active player in
the search for an efficient, effective and equitable solution to climate
change. Today amongst other things I outline some new measures costing
$627 million over the next five years that reinforce our commitment to
tackling global warming. Of all the inhabited continents, Australia
already has the driest and most variable climate. Climate change means our
water security problems will likely intensify, which is why my Government
has invested so heavily in national water reform. Our great and unique
natural ecosystems, like the Great Barrier Reef, are potentially
threatened and many of our major industries, not least agriculture, are
highly sensitive to changes in the climate.
Because of our natural abundance of fossil
fuels, Australia's economic prosperity is also threatened if our response
to climate change is misguided and driven by ideology. All the good
intentions in the world are worthless if we wreck our economy for no
environmental gain. With so much at stake, we must not confuse panic with
virtue. Australia's climate change policy must reflect our unique
vulnerabilities and particular economic strengths. It needs to be global,
regional, national and local. This challenge, I believe, is best met by a
blend of prudent conservatism and economic liberalism. A prudent
conservative knows we are but temporary stewards of the environment. The
Burkean sentiment that society is a partnership between those who are
living, those who are dead, and those yet to be born, is second nature to
us.
In the face of risk, a prudent conservative
takes insurance. We should, in the words of Rupert Murdoch, give the
planet the benefit of the doubt, given the dangers of climate change. A
blend of prudent conservatism and economic liberalism has other things
going for it. It is realistic about human nature and the pursuit of
national interests. It values the power of the market as well as the value
of local decision-making, and it knows the limits of state planning and
why flexibility must be built into policies and institutions. This mix of
prudent conservatism and economic liberalism has steered Australia through
more than a decade of successful reform.
Now we must position Australia for a low
carbon future. We face a major new reform challenge in designing an
emissions trading system and setting a long-term goal for reducing our
emissions in the absence of a global carbon scheme. These decisions will
be amongst the most important Australia takes in the next decade. They
need to be taken carefully and rationally with a clear eye to maintaining
our economic strength. Reducing carbon emissions will mean higher energy
and petrol prices. Australians need to understand that. Glib calls for
drastic, immediate cuts in Australia's emissions might be easy rhetoric
but they carry real and potentially large costs. The best way to combat
global climate change is to progressively tighten the screws on emissions
while encouraging clean technologies for an energy hungry world.
Notwithstanding some of the fear and
loathing that has crept into this debate, four fundamental realities
remain. First, climate change requires a truly global response. With
Australia's contribution to global emissions at less than 1.5 per cent and
falling, nothing we do alone will materially affect our climate. Second,
we must accommodate demands for economic development, energy security and
environmental sustainability. Without all three you are left at best with
a two legged stool. Third, different countries will choose different
policy approaches. National diversity must be both respected and
harnessed. And fourth, the Kyoto Protocol is not an effective blueprint
for future action. It provides no pathway for meaningful commitments by
the very countries which will account for the bulk of future greenhouse
gas emissions. Without a framework that includes all major emitters, we
lack a genuine global solution.
There is an acute irony here. The loudest
voices on climate change, not least the Australian Labor Party, tend to be
those who invest almost mystical powers in multilateral institutions. Yet
on this issue they are wedded to an instrument, namely Kyoto, which only
36 of 175 nations are required to do anything to reduce emissions.
Clearly, climate change is an immense international challenge. That is why
Australia is leading on practical steps like our Global Forests Initiative
and the Asia-Pacific Partnership for Clean Development and Climate. The
good news is that mankind has powerful tools for the task ahead, none more
so than the spirit of discovery inspired and channelled by rational
science and free markets.
Australia brings formidable assets to this
challenge: an educated, can-do and adaptable people a modern; flexible
economy; world class scientific expertise; deep global engagement and an
enviable reputation for institution-building and reform. We have mobilised
these assets before and will do so again to help build a new global
climate change framework and to facilitate Australia's transition to lower
carbon emissions. No great challenge has ever yielded to fear or guilt.
Nor will this one. Human ingenuity, directed towards clean technology and
wise institutional design, remain our best weapon. The false prophets are
those preaching Malthusian pessimism or anti-capitalism. They are the real
climate change deniers because they deny rational, realistic and
sustainable policy solutions. The moralising tone of utopian
internationalism is also not helpful. Institutions will only work and
endure if they harness national interests. The world needs less Woodrow
Wilson and more Adam Smith to effectively tackle climate change.
Let me remind you on this point that in
1997 the United States Senate voted unanimously 95 to nil against any
treaty that did not include major emitting developing countries. Indeed,
when the Clinton Administration signed the Kyoto Protocol, it was then
Vice President Al Gore who said that the United States could only ratify
once and I quote his words, key developing nations participate. The United
States has never ratified because the Al Gore condition of that
ratification has never been fulfilled. This is a global problem he said
that will need a global solution. A decade later nothing has changed to
alter that view. I believe that we have reached a new moment of
opportunity in this debate after a decade of inflated rhetoric and modest
results under the Kyoto protocol. There is now what I regard as an
emerging pragmatic consensus on a way forward that includes all major
emitters and Australia is helping to forge this consensus.
It is clear that the Kyoto model provides
neither a global solution nor a lasting one and that is why Australia
supports negotiations on a new global framework. A successful Conference
of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change to be held in Bali, Indonesia in December, will be crucial. We also
support international efforts to set by the end of next year a long-term
global goal for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This is in line with
our setting a long-term emissions reduction goal for Australia. We will
continue to encourage all relevant international efforts to arrive at a
lasting global solution. Last month I outlined Australia's plan to use
this year's APEC Meeting in Sydney. I see APEC as a major opportunity to
bridge continued gaps between developed and developing countries. A
comprehensive global mechanism will take years to develop and Australia
has decided not to wait for this to emerge and last month I announced that
the Government will establish an emissions trading regime for Australia
based on a cap and trade model. Our goal is to begin in 2011 subject to
relevant design issues being properly completed. One of the first in the
Asia-Pacific region, it will be world's best practice.
Today I announce key design features and
administrative arrangements for this crucial piece of national economic
architecture. The scheme will include maximum practical coverage of
emissions sources and sinks, and of all greenhouse gases, a mixture of
free allocation and auctioning of single-year dated emissions permits, a
safety valve emissions fee designed to limit unanticipated costs to the
economy and to business, particularly in the early years of the scheme and
recognition of carbon abatement by firms in the lead-up to commencement of
the scheme. The Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet will be
responsible for implementing this system and it will consult widely with
industry and others. Before selecting a long-term emissions goal in 2008
the Government will commission careful modelling of the impact of various
targets. We will not do as the Opposition has done, set a target with no
analysis of the consequences for Australia and then scramble around
ex-post for a study to justify it. This encapsulates Labor's economic
inexperience and the risk this poses to Australia's economy.
The Government will establish a team in the
Treasury to oversee this modelling and using a range of Australian
economic models Treasury will advise the Government amongst other things
on the macroeconomic, sectoral and distributional implications for
Australia of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. It will examine the
effects of different abatement targets over selected time periods and
thirdly model the effects on key economic indicators including growth,
employment, income, and prices - particularly of electricity - with
special regard to the impact on households. Australia's long-term
emissions target will be both environmentally credible and economically
achievable. We will build in flexibility to re-set the emissions
trajectory if new scientific information or technologies become available
and as the international framework takes shape. This is the smart,
sustainable way to set targets.
The Government will also introduce
legislation this year for a comprehensive and streamlined national
emissions and energy reporting system. We will legislate for a new
purpose-built monitoring, reporting and verification system and we will
work to remove duplication in reporting requirements on business.
Governance will be critical to the integrity of the emissions trading
scheme, in particular separating policy functions from operational
aspects. From 2009, an independent regulator for emissions trading will be
established in the Treasury. Its responsibilities will include allocating
and auctioning permits, certifying offsets and ensuring compliance. This
emissions trading system will be world class in its coverage and
governance. It will avoid the political fixes and economic failures that
dogged the initial phase of the European Emissions Trading Scheme. In the
years to come, it will provide a model for other nations to follow.
Being among the first movers on carbon
trading in this region will bring new opportunities and we intend to grasp
them. The Government will examine how to ensure that Australia becomes a
carbon trading hub in the Asia-Pacific region. Of course, an emissions
trading scheme is only one part of a comprehensive long-term climate
change policy framework. There is no magic green bullet. Low-carbon
technologies remain the key to an effective response that minimises the
costs of limiting emissions. This in turn demands a comprehensive
portfolio of clean energy solutions. Removing any one technology from the
mix increases the costs of action and makes stabilising global emissions
that much harder. Ultimately, technologies must meet the test of the
market. There is, however, still a role for government to support
research, development and demonstration of low emissions technologies.
Australia has the physical resources, the
human capital and the technological strengths to be a global leader in key
low emissions technologies. We can be an energy superpower in a carbon
constrained future, but only with the right policy settings and only if we
draw on all our national capabilities and resource advantages. Abundant
reserves of coal, gas, solar energy resources, geothermal potential and
the world's largest low-cost uranium deposit provide a natural strategic
focus for Australia's clean energy technology policy. Under our Low
Emissions Technology Fund the Government has already funded major projects
which together involve investments of approximately $3 billion. These
include the world's largest and most efficient photovoltaic solar power
station and the Gorgon CO2 Injection project which will be the largest
geosequestration project in the world.
As a major producer and exporter, Australia
has a crucial role to play in clean coal technologies. Renewable energy
sources, and our relative strengths in solar, wind and geothermal energy
will also be important but the Government also believes that Australia,
sitting on almost 40 per cent of the world's low cost uranium reserves,
cannot stand aloof from nuclear power. This would be an act of economic
and environmental folly in the extreme. Nuclear power has no direct CO2
emissions and is already a significant part of the world's energy system.
New generation nuclear energy systems known as Generation IV, promise
further advancement in fuel utilisation, cost competitiveness, safety,
waste minimisation and ensuring technology and products do not fall into
the wrong hands. Today I announce that the Government will invest $12.5
million in a Nuclear Collaborative Research Programme between the
Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation, ANSTO and
Australia's university sector. This will augment Australia's ability to
participate in the global Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems Initiative.
Ladies and Gentlemen, we all have a role to
play in reducing greenhouse gas emissions which goes beyond the easy
morality of gestures. As I've said earlier, our actions must be local, as
well as global, regional and national. A strong climate change policy
requires a community response, in the same way that water security demands
the widest possible community engagement. The Government is committed to
encouraging local communities and households to take their own practical
action both to lower carbon emissions and to better manage our nation's
scarce water resources. We are currently providing up to $12,000 to
schools that install solar electric panels and under the Community Water
Grants programme at least 1,600 schools have received funding for
rainwater tanks. Today I announced that in addition, the Commonwealth will
provide up to $50,000 to ensure every Australian school can install a
solar hot water system and a water tank. These Green Vouchers for schools
will help lift awareness of the challenges future generations face to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to better manage our water. Clearly,
the more people change and adapt their own behaviour, the less reliant
governments will be on blunt instruments that carry a heavy cost.
Under our Small Business and Household
Action Initiative all households will receive information about climate
change actions that they can take. They will be able to calculate their
carbon emissions and seek to become carbon neutral by purchasing offsets
through the Government's Greenhouse Friendly programme. More than 22,000
homes have received or will receive direct support under our Photovoltaic
Rebate Programme. The rebate currently available is up to $8000 per home.
We have already supported the installation of solar hot water systems in
more than 170,000 Australian homes. These Renewable Energy Certificates
can be worth up to $900 towards the cost of the solar hot water system.
Today I announce some further steps to bring solar hot water within the
reach of Australian families. We intend to provide an additional $1,000
per household so that up to another 225,000 homes can upgrade to an energy
saving solar hot water system. Water heating is the largest single source
of greenhouse gas emissions from the average Australian home. Now more
Australians will have access to Australian solar technologies with the
capacity to reduce carbon emissions and to save households about $300 in
annual energy costs.
The policies I have announced today bring
to $3.4 billion the Commonwealth Government's investment in tackling
climate change since 1996. Earlier this year, I described myself as a
realist on climate change. Increasingly I'm also an optimist because of
the sheer dynamism of 21st century capitalism and the new momentum
emerging for a more comprehensive global framework to succeed the Kyoto
approach. Stabilising atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases will
require a deep transformation of the world's energy systems. It will be
hard, but it is possible. We do not have to sacrifice economic prosperity.
We do not have to rethink capitalism, but we do need to engage the
community. We do need massive investment in low carbon infrastructure and
we do need a far-reaching new phase of economic reform here at home to
establish a world-class emissions trading system. One thing is for sure.
The world will only unleash the clean technologies of tomorrow and
successfully tighten the screws on greenhouse gas emissions against a
backdrop of economic strength, and it is only against that backdrop of a
strong economy that we can deliver the best environmental outcomes. On
that basis Australia can more than play her part. Thank you.
|